Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.Most gold stocks in Hong Kong stocks fell, and Lingbao Gold fell by nearly 5%. As of press time, Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) fell by 4.75%, Zijin Mining (02899.HK) fell by 2.82% and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) fell by 2.75%.The T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China successfully turned and crossed Panxi Railway. According to The Paper, on the afternoon of December 11th, after 82 minutes of continuous construction, the T-shaped overpass with the longest and heaviest single span in China turned 52 degrees clockwise from Panxi Railway Vehicle Turning Station to Yangweishao Station under the jurisdiction of Kunming Bureau of China Railway, realizing a "gorgeous turn" and successfully completed the turn across Panxi Railway.
Guosheng Securities: AEC heavy-duty computing industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng. Guosheng Securities Research Report pointed out that AEC(Active Electrical Cable) is an active cable interconnection scheme, which is mainly used in short-distance high-speed data transmission scenarios in data centers. 1)AEC is expected to become the first step for optical module manufacturers to penetrate downwards. Optical modules need to master photoelectric conversion and high-speed data communication, and DAC/AEC/AOC products have relatively mature technical requirements compared with single-mode/multimode optical module products with longer transmission distance. 2) Copper interconnection is widely used by large CSP not only in NVIDIA. NVIDIA used a large number of high-density copper interconnects in B series products, which made the industry re-recognize the reliability and price advantage of copper interconnects in short-distance scenes. 3) In the era of Lian Heng, domestic manufacturers still have obvious advantages. Chip manufacturers, represented by NVIDIA, have been hoping to conduct a comprehensive industry consolidation and provide customers with a complete set of solutions. What CSP manufacturers want more is the decoupling of the industrial chain, and every link such as GPU, copper connection, optical module and switch can find corresponding suppliers. The heavy volume of AEC and the rise of CSP manufacturer's independent scheme indicate that the computing power industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng, and we are firmly optimistic about the domestic related computing power industry chain.China, with the largest plantation area in the world, has become the country with the greatest contribution to greening in the world. In the past 30 years since the signing of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, China has made remarkable achievements in combating desertification, especially since last June, China has launched the "Three North" project. At present, the forest coverage rate in the "Three North" project area has increased from 5% in the 1970s to 13.84%. By the end of 2023, the forest coverage rate in China exceeded 25%, the forest stock exceeded 20 billion cubic meters, and the plantation area ranked first in the world, making it the most green country in the world. (CCTV News)Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.
Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.Most gold stocks in Hong Kong stocks fell, and Lingbao Gold fell by nearly 5%. As of press time, Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) fell by 4.75%, Zijin Mining (02899.HK) fell by 2.82% and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) fell by 2.75%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13